Expectation of Fed ra上海乌托邦s an over-reaction

Herd instinct is the human nature to follow the crowd and act collectively – and market expectation always does not change smoothly but t

上海乌托邦ends to over-react to new information. The current market expectation of the US Federal Reserve’s rate cuts is a case in point.

On June 20, the latest meeting of the Fed’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee shrugged off the market’s high expectation of rate cuts and gave no clear policy signal confirming a cut.

We believe the market had overreacted in forming its expectation of rate cuts after the Fed swiftly adopted a dovish tone from the end of last上海乌托邦

year. Specifically, we believe market expectation – it has formed since May – of a change in policy stance, as well as the timing and degree of rate cuts, may not fully materialize.

We will elaborate on this now. It should be noted the misconceived expectation of Fed rate cuts could ind上海乌托邦

uce a drastic reversal in investor sentiment and asset price fluctuations, if the Fed’s moves miss expectation.

Firstly, the market may have overestimated the degree of the Fed’s policy stance change. A clear rate cut signal may not emerge until the end of this month.上海乌托邦

According to Bloomberg, the Fed funds futures market has recently priced in a 98.5-percent chance that the Fed will lower rates at least once this year.

上海乌托邦品茶微信However, the Fed’s earlier forward guidance only indicated the end of monetary policy n

ormalization, which does not necessarily point to the beginning of a rate cut cycle. Also, the Fed h

as removed the word “patient” from the latest FOMC meeting statement but did not confirm a rate-cut stance.

We believe that because of the following two reasons, the Fed is still on cautious lookout, and t

here will not be any clear rate cut signal or plan until the next FOMC meeting at the end of this month.上海乌托邦品茶微信

Externally, the Fed is expected to stand pat until trade dispute uncertainties ease, to give itself an advantage in its game with the US Administration.

The Fed would put itself in an unfavorable position if it initiated a rate cut before majo上海乌托邦品茶微信

r uncertainties over the China-US trade dispute are removed, because the pre-emptive move may enc

ourage the US Administration to escalate the trade dispute, which will in turn pose a dilemma to the Fed.

That’s because any escalation in trade tensions will, on the one hand, d

ssipate and even offset the easing boost from rate cuts and force the Fed to accelerate the上海乌托邦品茶微信

rate cut pace. On the other hand, the escalation could further fuel imported inflation, which will significantly reduce the

Fed’s room for rate cuts. The Fed will then face a policy-making dilemma of whether to further cut rates.

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As Kong understands, there are plenty of opportunitie

 for insurance companies in the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta region, with transportation as a top priority.

上海夜网女神会所”Insurance capital can help the government to boost domestic consumption. A co

mprehensive transportation network connecting railway, subway, ports and even airports has上海夜网

been a longstanding goal of many cities in this area. This is where insurers can play a big role,” he said.

Elderly care is another sector where insurance companies can find big opportunities, said Ko

ng. In early June, CPIC opened an elderly care community in Hangzhou, and is about to launch a new one in Nanjing.上海夜网女神会所

“The idea is to let the senior citizens in Shanghai enjoy quality elderly care services in other parts of the Yangtze River Delta region. Mor

e room in Shanghai can thus be given to ambitious young entrepreneurs to set up their own businesses,” he said.

The integration of risk prevention schemes for peasants in the Y

angtze River Delta region is one more area where insurers can focus on, said Kong.上海夜网

Peasants’ income can be largely increased via products such

as cost insurance, yield insurance, income insurance or one-stop insurance service.

He Haifeng, director of the Institute of Financial Policy, which is a part of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the int上海夜网女神会所

egrated development of the delta region presents many latent challenges. So, more efforts should be made to r

eform finance and tax areas, to reduce fees in various fields, and improve the overall business environment.

Work on a new film based on a script by novelist Liu Cixin, the first Asian ever to win a global sci-fi literature’s top honor Hugo Award, has just begun.上海夜网女神会所

The movie called Mo Ri Zheng Jiu (The Rescue on the Last Day) will star award-winning Hong Kong actor Nick Cheung Ka-f

ai and veteran actor Hu Jun, best known for the first Sino-Kazakh coproduction The Composer.

Director Shen Yue says that Liu wrote the script before he started to write The Three-Bod

y Problem, which won the Hugo Award for Best Novel in August 2015. The book was first published in 2006.

Zhu Jin, the curator of Beijing Planetarium, will be the film’s chief science consultant.

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Promoting SME globalization on the world stage

Economic relations between China and Cote d’Ivoire are set to deepen, as t

he latter became the first African country to co-host the 13th China International Small and Medium En

上海品茶微信女神会所terprises Fair that takes place in Guangzhou, capital of Guangdong province, from Oct 10 to 27.

Azoumana Moutaye, head of the country’s Ministry of National Entrepreneurshi

p, Handicrafts and Promotion of SMEs, said China and Cote d’Ivoire jointly organizing the interna

tional event indicated that bilateral relations between the two countries has reached a new peak.上海品茶微信

Cote d’Ivoire, with a population of around 23 million, has become one of Africa’s most resurgent economies in recent ye

ars. Its economy will be the second-fastest growing in the world this year, as predicted by the International Monetary Fund.上海品茶微信女神会所

About 60 Ivorian enterprises led by Moutaye have participated in the exhibition, showcasing

and promoting their products in such industries as agriculture, communication, energy, construction and logistics.

Promoting SME globalization on the world stage上海品茶微信女神会所

Another foreign co-host is India. Following Russia, it is the second BRICS country that is involved in organizing the fair.

Indian Minister of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Kalraj Mishra hoped the fair would be上海品茶微信

tter promote the cooperation between Chinese and Indian SMEs and help them achieve more substantial results.

上海品茶微信女神会所Small and medium-sized companies play a big role in India’s economic development, as 95 percent of the country’s companies are SMEs.

During the fair, textiles, machinery and equipment, hardware and electrical appliances and other goods from 124 Indian firms will be displayed.

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g private capital fo上海会所品茶微信t urged more effo

orts to attract p上海会所品茶微信rivate capital to sustainable infrastructure, and called on multilateral de

velopment banks to contribute more toward improving project preparation and country policy fra

meworks and maintaining supportive conditions by, for instance, providing better information for market players.

Stern said the G20 nations can promote sustainable economic growth and development, reduce poverty and improve living standards across the world.

“But they must move quickly and on scale,” he said. “The climate crisis is real and now; delay will be profoundly dangerous.”

Kevin Gallagher, director of the Global Development Policy Center at Boston University, and Richard Kozul-Wright, director of the Division

on Globalization and Development Strategies at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, have appealed t

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ge group callisthenics and 上海会所品茶微信s held at the May

Xi and his wif上海会所品茶微信g Liyuan, were greeted by Kim and

his wife, Ri Solju, at Pyongyang Sunan International Airport upon their arrival.

Under Chinese and DPRK national flags and large welcome banners, nearly 10,000 people

lined up at the airport, waving flowers and chanting cheerful slogans to greet the Chinese guests.

Following a grand welcoming ceremony complete with a 21-gun salute, Xi headed to the square of

the Kumsusan Palace of the Sun, where he became the first foreign leader to receive a salute at the hi

ghly symbolic site. Hundreds of thousands of people lined up along the road from the airport, waving flags and flo

wers and chanting “Long Live the China-DPRK Friendship” and other slogans to welcome Xi.

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ing addresses the 1上海会所女神会所 Council of Heads of

President calls 上海会所女神会所on members to support regional links to Belt and Road Initiative

Members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization should follow the trend of economic globalization and

build the SCO into a community with a shared future, President Xi Jinping said on Friday.

Xi made the remark while delivering a speech at the 19th

meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the SCO in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan’s capital.

SCO members should promote the multilateral trading system, buil

d an open global economy and put forward more policies to facilitate trade and investment, he said.

Xi proposed making full use of cooperation platforms such as the China Intern

ational Import Expo to promote the openness, exchanges and integration of regional economies.

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inopec establish joint venture with Russian companie

hina Petrole上海会所品茶微信um and Chemical Corp, the world’s larg

est refiner by volume, has agreed to establish a joint venture with Russia’s Novatek and Gazp

rombank to market natural and liquefied natural gas (LNG) in China, Sinopec said on Thursday.

The agreement, which aims to sell LNG produced by Novatek in the Arctic, was signed fo

llowing talks in Moscow between Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and Chinese President, Xi Jinping.

The agreement will be of considerable economic and social benefit an

d will further diversify China’s natural gas imports, while meeting ever-increasing ga

s demand in the country, said Dai Houliang, China Petrochemical Corp president.

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It is the first time in eight years that a Chinese defense

 minister has participated in the event.Building a community with a shared future for mankind is the right path forward and the

trend of the times amid growing uncertainty and instability around the world, he said.

“No approaches to regional issues should resort to military blocs, nor should they undermine the interests of others,” Wei said.

He called out the United States for its military support to Taiwan and naval operations in

the South China Sea, saying they have undermined China’s national sovereignty and territorial integrity.

China resolutely follows the path of peaceful development and this commitment is en

shrined in the constitutions of both the Communist Party of China and the People’s Republic of C

hina, Wei said. “If this is not convincing enough for some people, nothing will be.”

zsdbv.cn

While many people doubt whether Mo could top the s

success of winning the Nobel Prize in Literature in 2012, Zhang Qinghua, professor at Beijing Normal University, believes that Mo’s way of dealing with this h

as been to make a return to his hometown, a village in Gaomi, Shandong province, both in reality and spiritually.

Mo didn’t publish any new work in the five years following the award, when in 2017 he

released several short stories, poems and theater works, mainly reminiscing about his hometown.

Unlike Mo’s former novels, Peking University professor Chen Xiaoming notes th

at his new works are more reserved, realistic stylistically and employ more simple language. Literary cri

tic Li Jingze is impressed that Mo has remained acutely sensitive to the realities of urban and rural life.

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Literature fest sparks rural rebootLiterature Prize anliang Li

An event set up by film director Jia Zhangke featuring leading proponents of a school of writing from Shanxi aims to place the province on China’s literary map.

Jiajiazhuang village in Fenyang, Shanxi province, sits around 600 kilometers southwest of Beijing.

Once known for its collective economy that helped draw its population out of poverty, it has now gained another label than

ks to film director Jia Zhangke, who was born in 35ang in 1970, just a short distance from the village.

Jia has devoted much of his time to regenerating the area’s cultural legacy, not only through movies, but also through literature.

To do that, Jia set up the first Lyuliang Literature Festival, which was held from May 9 to 16

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